Strollerderby

Calculate the Odds You'll Get Divorced

Posted by Kelly Mills
divorce

As the resident divorcing parent-blogger, I see a story with "divorce in it and I get all interested. Add "calculator" to that and I'm reading further, because I love a little online gadget that tells you something good. So hey, are you wondering if your marriage is forever, or if it will end in divorce? The rate of divorce is dropping in the U.S., and within different demographics the chances are better or worse that you'll end up in Splitsville. In fact, you could have much better than the quoted 50-50 odds of success. 

Only one way to find out: The Marriage Calculator. Its not quite as exciting as it sounds, because it gives you the rate of divorce among your education level, duration of marriage, and marital time period. I was hoping for something where you plugged in common grievances or something and got your odds of success, but I guess that's called a marriage counselor.

Anyhow, go here and see if people with your background are breaking up like crazy, or if their marriages are rock-solid. Then pretend that it means something for your own. At least you can see if you'll have a good dating pool of similar folks to choose from in five years, should your relatonship go under. Ahem.  

Related:

You Both Look So Lovely In Your Divorce Pictures

Does Shared Custody Mess Kids Up? 


+ DIGG + STUMBLE

Comments

 

Laura said:

I calculated the odds for both myself and my husband.  We had the same odds (6%, which I found interesting bc we have a 10 year age gap), but I wonder why it is only relevant if the female has children?  When I filled in the first question as male, for my hubby, the child question disappeared.  

November 30, 2008 2:18 PM
 

Cotter Cunningham said:

Kelly & Laura-

Kelly - thanks for the link to the marriage calculator.  We hope it is something people find useful.  As to Laura's question - why we do ask women if they have children and not men?, we asked our calculator expert, Betsey Stevenson, assistant professor of business and public policy at University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School.  Here is her answer:

"The divorce rates are based on the actual experiences of individuals, rather than the experiences of both people within a single marriage.   Because the divorce rates are based on the characteristics of an individual, divorce rates can differ between men and women.  People often do not marry people with the same characteristics as themselves.  For example, college educated women have very different marital experiences from college educated men.   College-educated women are least likely to ever marry among women and college-educated men are the most likely to marry among men.  Not surprisingly, they may also have different divorce outcomes as a result of their different marital behaviors.    

Unfortunately, fertility history never gathered for men by any government dataset of which I am aware.   Since the data is based on peoples experiences over their lives and not simply children currently in the household, it is impossible to know whether men had children.  As such, we simply do not use this field for men."

Hope this helps!

Cotter

December 2, 2008 3:25 PM
 

dev said:

nice

December 2, 2008 5:52 PM

in

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