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Oscar Nominations: Three Reasons Natalie Portman Will Win The Academy Award.

natalie portman oscar nominationOscar nominations were just announced this morning. The 2011 Academy Award Best Actress category competition is pretty tight. But pregnant Natalie Portman is my runaway pick. Mind you, I haven’t seen her in the movie yet. Or any of the performances by nominated actors. This prediction is entirely based on crackpot Oscar theories. Such as:

1. The Fetus As Good Luck Charm Theory

Natalie Portman is pregnant. Pregnant women who are nominated for Oscars are generally considered more likely than not to win. Perhaps people just want to see them lumbering up to the podium. Though I do not have the exact mathematical algorithm to support this hypothesis, I do have some examples:

2006, Rachel Weisz,  “The Constant Gardner.

2003, Catherine Zeta-Jones,  “Chicago,” (Best Supporting Actress)

1983 Meryl Streep , “Sophie’s Choice.”

2. The Dramatic Weight Loss Theory

Natalie’s role in Black Swan required a significant weight loss, putting her on par with past winners who have pummeled their bodies in the interest of art, IE Tom Hanks in Philadelphia. Granted, Portman’s role is somewhat different, but The Academy may be impressed by dramatic body manipulation techniques.

3. The Golden Globe Theory

Perhaps the most accurate indication of who will win the Oscar: It usually goes to the girl who won the Golden Globe. Natalie took home hers in that fabulous rose-colored rose-adorned dress…the one I’m coveting despite my lack of a baby bump. However, this particular theory is subject to a complication this year. Annette Bening, Natalie’s competition, was also a Golden Globe Winner this year. Come to think of it, didn’t she disprove the pregnant winner theory too? I recall her leaving empty-handed, but very large, after her nomination for American Beauty.  I guess that makes her a wild card.

Maybe the Academy will have to actually choose the best actress winner based on the actor’s performance? Here are the nominees for best actress:

Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

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